Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.013006 2.195627 2.390402 2.614114 2.864590 3.137105 3.456988
2026-01-25 1.744897 1.994016 2.275738 2.619863 3.031486 3.511322 4.117805
2026-02-01 1.535501 1.813826 2.142092 2.561598 3.088887 3.736996 4.605338
2026-02-08 1.389646 1.685075 2.045381 2.522986 3.148312 3.951854 5.083606
2026-02-15 1.283556 1.591223 1.977291 2.505429 3.222037 4.179948 5.591519
2026-02-22 1.225225 1.550438 1.969531 2.560203 3.389552 4.541563 6.316870
2026-03-01 1.149841 1.480038 1.915099 2.543877 3.452855 4.758064 6.850101
2026-03-08 1.076949 1.406931 1.850229 2.505289 3.477224 4.915267 7.304731
2026-03-15 0.997315 1.319021 1.758245 2.419483 3.422439 4.944897 7.554824
2026-03-22 0.956908 1.282718 1.735505 2.431347 3.513054 5.203159 8.205566
2026-03-29 0.929523 1.262720 1.734015 2.473411 3.651767 5.548066 9.043560
2026-04-05 0.901896 1.240407 1.727140 2.505680 3.775945 5.878682 9.896035
2026-04-12 0.872887 1.215127 1.715230 2.530655 3.892763 6.212786 10.810933
2026-04-19 0.840669 1.183271 1.691361 2.534602 3.974326 6.493166 11.662915
2026-04-26 0.796529 1.131081 1.633150 2.478381 3.947381 6.574551 12.125327
2026-05-03 0.760373 1.089215 1.588557 2.441265 3.949966 6.708877 12.713785
2026-05-10 0.731464 1.057083 1.557455 2.424402 3.986616 6.909825 13.472912
2026-05-17 0.719509 1.050719 1.566933 2.476965 4.153330 7.379016 14.903314
2026-05-24 0.694195 1.021959 1.538431 2.461298 4.190946 7.593628 15.777938
2026-05-31 0.666280 0.987800 1.499318 2.424265 4.184547 7.716556 16.450211
2026-06-07 0.631327 0.940894 1.436932 2.341896 4.084073 7.632346 16.593434
2026-06-14 0.616111 0.925496 1.426623 2.353286 4.168807 7.952233 17.825316
2026-06-21 0.606971 0.919622 1.432034 2.393668 4.314511 8.420874 19.539721